2003 Oscar Predictions

Having seen all of the movies nominated for the major categories, thought I would try and predict who will win an Oscar tonight. Provided ABC moves forward with the broadcast, it will be interesting to see how well I do. Stay tuned! I do reserve the right to change my mind about a category…obviously before the show startes.
BEST PICTURE
• Chicago
• Gangs of New York
• The Hours
• The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
• The Pianist
Predicted Winner: Chicago (but it really should be Gangs of New York or The Pianist)
Actual Winner: Chicago
DIRECTOR
• Rob Marshall, Chicago
• Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York
• Stephen Daldry, The Hours
• Roman Polanski, The Pianist
• Pedro Almodovar, Talk to Her
Predicted Winner: Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York
Actual Winner: Roman Polanski, The Pianist
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
• Adrien Brody, The Pianist
• Nicholas Cage, Adaptation
• Michael Caine, The Quiet American
• Daniel Day Lewis, Gangs of New York
• Jack Nicholson, About Schmidt
Predicted Winner: Daniel Day Lewis, Gangs of New York
Actual Winner: Adrien Brody, The Pianist
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
• Salma Hayek, Frida
• Nicole Kidman, The Hours
• Diane Lane, Unfaithful
• Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven
• Renee Zellweger, Chicago
Predicted Winner: Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven (I know this is a long shot, but she really deserves to win; she blows away any of the other performances.)
Actual Winner: Nicole Kidman, The Hours
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
• Chris Cooper, Adaptation
• Ed Harris, The Hours
• Paul Newman, Road to Perdition
• John C. Reilly, Chicago
• Christopher Walken, Catch Me if You Can
Predicted Winner: Chris Cooper, Adaptation
Actual Winner: Chris Cooper, Adaptation
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
• Kathy Bates, About Schmidt
• Julianne Moore, The Hours
• Queen Latifah, Chicago
• Meryl Streep, Adaptation
• Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
Predicted Winner: Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
Actual Winner: Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
• Todd Haynes, Far From Heaven
• Jay Cocks, Steven Zaillian and Kenneth Lonergan, Gangs of New York
• Nia Vardalos, My Big Fat Greek Wedding
• Pedro Almodovar, Talk to Her
• Carlos Cauron and Alfonso Cuaron, Y Tu Mama Tambien
Predicted Winner: Nia Vardalos, My Big Fat Greek Wedding
Actual Winner: Pedro Almodovar, Talk to Her
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
• Peter Hedges, Chris Weitz and Paul Weitz, About a Boy
• Charlie Kaufman and Donald Kaufman, Adaptation
• Bill Condon, Chicago
• David Hare, The Hours
• Ronald Harwood, The Pianist
Predicted Winner: David Hare, The Hours
Actual Winner: Ronald Harwood, The Pianist
ORIGINAL SCORE
• John Williams, Catch Me if You Can
• Elmer Bernstein, Far From Heaven
• Elliot Goldenthal, Frida
• Philip Glass, The Hours
• Thomas Newman, Road to Perdition
Predicted Winner: Philip Glass, The Hours
Actual Winner: Elliot Goldenthal, Frida
ORIGINAL SONG
• “I Move On” from Chicago
• “Lose Yourself” from 8 Mile
• “Burn It Blue” from Frida
• “The Hands That Built America” from Gangs of New York
• “Father and Daughter” from The Wild Thornberrys Movies
Predicted Winner: “Lose Yourself” from 8 Mile
Actual Winner: “Lose Yourself” from 8 Mile
ART DIRECTION
• John Myrhe and Gord Sim, Chicago
• Felipe Fernandez del Paso and Hannia Robledo, Frida
• Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo, Gangs of New York
• Grant Major, Dan Hennah and Alan Lee, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
• Dennis Gassner and Nancy Haigh, Road to Perdition
Predicted Winner: Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo, Gangs of New York
Actual Winner: John Myrhe and Gord Sim, Chicago

CINEMATOGRAPHY
• Dion Beebe, Chicago
• Edward Lachman, Far From Heaven
• Michael Ballhaus, Gangs of New York
• Pawel Edelman, The Pianist
• Conrad L. Hall, Road to Perdition
Predicted Winner: Edward Lachman, Far From Heaven
Actual Winner: Conrad L. Hall, Road to Perdition

COSTUME DESIGN
• Colleen Atwood, Chicago
• Julie Weiss, Frida
• Sandy Powell, Gangs of New York
• Ann Roth, The Hours
• Anna Sheppard, The Pianist
Predicted Winner: Colleen Atwood, Chicago
Actual Winner: Colleen Atwood, Chicago
FILM EDITING
• Martin Walsh, Chicago
• Thelma Schoonmaker, Gangs of New York
• Peter Boyle, The Hours
• Michael Horton, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
• Herve de Luze, The Pianist
Predicted Winner: Martin Walsh, Chicago
Actual Winner: Martin Walsh, Chicago

5 Comments
  1. Don’t get me wrong, I loved Chicago. But if Renee Zellweger wins Best Actress, then the Oscars will be something I no longer pay attention to. My money/bet is actually on Nicole Kidman for it, whether deserved or not (Haven’t seen The Hours, so this is just my hunch). I would, however, LOVE to see Queen Latifah win, simply because it is so rare to see a plus-size woman win in these things.

  2. Wasn’t Catherine Zeta-Jones radiant last night? Someone on E Online! commented that this year’s Supporting Actress nominees were a great argument for the “natural woman.” If I ever get pregnant, I hope to be as luminous and joyful as CZJ was. 🙂
    And Adrian Brody – WOW!!!
    I’m glad Nicole Kidman won, though I think she might’ve deserved it more last year. She was – everything I hoped she’d be as Virginia Woolf. I know you didn’t like the movie – but you really should read the book. It’s quite incredible.

  3. Catherine did look quite radiant. Suprised that Adrian Brody won. Big upset but not entirely a bad choice. He did do a great job. As for Nicole’s win, I happy for her…but I really wanted Julianne Moore to win.

  4. If Lord of The Rings wins Best Picture in the Oscars THIS year (2004 for 2003 movies), I’m never watching movies again. those movies are for tards.

  5. 2004 Oscar Predictions

    Last year after seeing all of the movies nominated in the 14 major categories, I was only able to predict

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