2003 Oscar Predictions

Having seen all of the movies nominated for the major categories, thought I would try and predict who will win an Oscar tonight. Provided ABC moves forward with the broadcast, it will be interesting to see how well I do. Stay tuned! I do reserve the right to change my mind about a category…obviously before the show startes.
BEST PICTURE
• Chicago
• Gangs of New York
• The Hours
• The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
• The Pianist
Predicted Winner: Chicago (but it really should be Gangs of New York or The Pianist)
Actual Winner: Chicago
DIRECTOR
• Rob Marshall, Chicago
• Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York
• Stephen Daldry, The Hours
• Roman Polanski, The Pianist
• Pedro Almodovar, Talk to Her
Predicted Winner: Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York
Actual Winner: Roman Polanski, The Pianist
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
• Adrien Brody, The Pianist
• Nicholas Cage, Adaptation
• Michael Caine, The Quiet American
• Daniel Day Lewis, Gangs of New York
• Jack Nicholson, About Schmidt
Predicted Winner: Daniel Day Lewis, Gangs of New York
Actual Winner: Adrien Brody, The Pianist
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
• Salma Hayek, Frida
• Nicole Kidman, The Hours
• Diane Lane, Unfaithful
• Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven
• Renee Zellweger, Chicago
Predicted Winner: Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven (I know this is a long shot, but she really deserves to win; she blows away any of the other performances.)
Actual Winner: Nicole Kidman, The Hours
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
• Chris Cooper, Adaptation
• Ed Harris, The Hours
• Paul Newman, Road to Perdition
• John C. Reilly, Chicago
• Christopher Walken, Catch Me if You Can
Predicted Winner: Chris Cooper, Adaptation
Actual Winner: Chris Cooper, Adaptation
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
• Kathy Bates, About Schmidt
• Julianne Moore, The Hours
• Queen Latifah, Chicago
• Meryl Streep, Adaptation
• Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
Predicted Winner: Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
Actual Winner: Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
• Todd Haynes, Far From Heaven
• Jay Cocks, Steven Zaillian and Kenneth Lonergan, Gangs of New York
• Nia Vardalos, My Big Fat Greek Wedding
• Pedro Almodovar, Talk to Her
• Carlos Cauron and Alfonso Cuaron, Y Tu Mama Tambien
Predicted Winner: Nia Vardalos, My Big Fat Greek Wedding
Actual Winner: Pedro Almodovar, Talk to Her
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
• Peter Hedges, Chris Weitz and Paul Weitz, About a Boy
• Charlie Kaufman and Donald Kaufman, Adaptation
• Bill Condon, Chicago
• David Hare, The Hours
• Ronald Harwood, The Pianist
Predicted Winner: David Hare, The Hours
Actual Winner: Ronald Harwood, The Pianist
ORIGINAL SCORE
• John Williams, Catch Me if You Can
• Elmer Bernstein, Far From Heaven
• Elliot Goldenthal, Frida
• Philip Glass, The Hours
• Thomas Newman, Road to Perdition
Predicted Winner: Philip Glass, The Hours
Actual Winner: Elliot Goldenthal, Frida
ORIGINAL SONG
• “I Move On” from Chicago
• “Lose Yourself” from 8 Mile
• “Burn It Blue” from Frida
• “The Hands That Built America” from Gangs of New York
• “Father and Daughter” from The Wild Thornberrys Movies
Predicted Winner: “Lose Yourself” from 8 Mile
Actual Winner: “Lose Yourself” from 8 Mile
ART DIRECTION
• John Myrhe and Gord Sim, Chicago
• Felipe Fernandez del Paso and Hannia Robledo, Frida
• Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo, Gangs of New York
• Grant Major, Dan Hennah and Alan Lee, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
• Dennis Gassner and Nancy Haigh, Road to Perdition
Predicted Winner: Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo, Gangs of New York
Actual Winner: John Myrhe and Gord Sim, Chicago
CINEMATOGRAPHY
• Dion Beebe, Chicago
• Edward Lachman, Far From Heaven
• Michael Ballhaus, Gangs of New York
• Pawel Edelman, The Pianist
• Conrad L. Hall, Road to Perdition
Predicted Winner: Edward Lachman, Far From Heaven
Actual Winner: Conrad L. Hall, Road to Perdition
COSTUME DESIGN
• Colleen Atwood, Chicago
• Julie Weiss, Frida
• Sandy Powell, Gangs of New York
• Ann Roth, The Hours
• Anna Sheppard, The Pianist
Predicted Winner: Colleen Atwood, Chicago
Actual Winner: Colleen Atwood, Chicago
FILM EDITING
• Martin Walsh, Chicago
• Thelma Schoonmaker, Gangs of New York
• Peter Boyle, The Hours
• Michael Horton, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
• Herve de Luze, The Pianist
Predicted Winner: Martin Walsh, Chicago
Actual Winner: Martin Walsh, Chicago
5 Comments
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February 29, 2004 at 11:27 am
Ursula's Not So Secret History
2004 Oscar Predictions
Last year after seeing all of the movies nominated in the 14 major categories, I was only able to predict
January 23, 2004 at 4:05 pm
K
If Lord of The Rings wins Best Picture in the Oscars THIS year (2004 for 2003 movies), I’m never watching movies again. those movies are for tards.
March 24, 2003 at 6:23 pm
ursula
Catherine did look quite radiant. Suprised that Adrian Brody won. Big upset but not entirely a bad choice. He did do a great job. As for Nicole’s win, I happy for her…but I really wanted Julianne Moore to win.
March 24, 2003 at 11:26 am
brixton
Wasn’t Catherine Zeta-Jones radiant last night? Someone on E Online! commented that this year’s Supporting Actress nominees were a great argument for the “natural woman.” If I ever get pregnant, I hope to be as luminous and joyful as CZJ was. 🙂
And Adrian Brody – WOW!!!
I’m glad Nicole Kidman won, though I think she might’ve deserved it more last year. She was – everything I hoped she’d be as Virginia Woolf. I know you didn’t like the movie – but you really should read the book. It’s quite incredible.
March 23, 2003 at 4:57 pm
Marie Braden
Don’t get me wrong, I loved Chicago. But if Renee Zellweger wins Best Actress, then the Oscars will be something I no longer pay attention to. My money/bet is actually on Nicole Kidman for it, whether deserved or not (Haven’t seen The Hours, so this is just my hunch). I would, however, LOVE to see Queen Latifah win, simply because it is so rare to see a plus-size woman win in these things.